Subphenotypes of self-reported symptoms and outcomes in long COVID: a prospective cohort study with latent class analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To characterise subphenotypes of self-reported symptoms and outcomes (SRSOs) in postacute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC). DESIGN: Prospective, observational cohort study of subjects with PASC. SETTING: Academic tertiary centre from five clinical referral sources. PARTICIPANTS: Adults with COVID-19 ≥20 days before enrolment and presence of any new self-reported symptoms following COVID-19. EXPOSURES: We collected data on clinical variables and SRSOs via structured telephone interviews and performed standardised assessments with validated clinical numerical scales to capture psychological symptoms, neurocognitive functioning and cardiopulmonary function. We collected saliva and stool samples for quantification of SARS-CoV-2 RNA via quantitative PCR. OUTCOMES MEASURES: Description of PASC SRSOs burden and duration, derivation of distinct PASC subphenotypes via latent class analysis (LCA) and relationship with viral load. RESULTS: We analysed baseline data for 214 individuals with a study visit at a median of 197.5 days after COVID-19 diagnosis. Participants reported ever having a median of 9/16 symptoms (IQR 6-11) after acute COVID-19, with muscle-aches, dyspnoea and headache being the most common. Fatigue, cognitive impairment and dyspnoea were experienced for a longer time. Participants had a lower burden of active symptoms (median 3 (1-6)) than those ever experienced (p<0.001). Unsupervised LCA of symptoms revealed three clinically active PASC subphenotypes: a high burden constitutional symptoms (21.9%), a persistent loss/change of smell and taste (20.6%) and a minimal residual symptoms subphenotype (57.5%). Subphenotype assignments were strongly associated with self-assessments of global health, recovery and PASC impact on employment (p<0.001) as well as referral source for enrolment. Viral persistence (5.6% saliva and 1% stool samples positive) did not explain SRSOs or subphenotypes. CONCLUSIONS: We identified three distinct PASC subphenotypes. We highlight that although most symptoms progressively resolve, specific PASC subpopulations are impacted by either high burden of constitutional symptoms or persistent olfactory/gustatory dysfunction, requiring prospective identification and targeted preventive or therapeutic interventions.

Disentangling Predictors of COPD Mortality with Probabilistic Graphical Models.

Background-Research question: Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is a leading cause of mortality. Predicting mortality risk in COPD patients can be important for disease management strategies. Although scores for all-cause mortality have been developed previously, there is limited research on factors that may directly affect COPD-specific mortality. Study design-Methods: used probabilistic (causal) graphs to analyze clinical baseline COPDGene data, including demographics, spirometry, quantitative chest imaging, and symptom features, as well as gene expression data (from year-5). Results: We identified factors linked to all-cause and COPD-specific mortality. Although many were similar, there were differences in certain comorbidities (all-cause mortality model only) and forced vital capacity (COPD-specific mortality model only). Using our results, we developed VAPORED , a 7-variable COPD-specific mortality risk score, which we validated using the ECLIPSE 3-yr mortality data. We showed that the new model is more accurate than the existing ADO, BODE, and updated BODE indices. Additionally, we identified biological signatures linked to all-cause mortality, including a plasma cell mediated component. Finally, we developed a web page to help clinicians calculate mortality risk using VAPORED, ADO, and BODE indices. Interpretation: Given the importance of predicting COPD-specific and all-cause mortality risk in COPD patients, we showed that probabilistic graphs can identify the features most directly affecting them, and be used to build new, more accurate models of mortality risk. Novel biological features affecting mortality were also identified. This is an important step towards improving our identification of high-risk patients and potential biological mechanisms that drive COPD mortality.

Utility of rehabilitation prior to bronchoscopic lung volume reduction: post hoc analysis of the VENT trial.

Background and objective: Rehabilitation programmes are a valuable treatment modality for patients with COPD to increase exercise capacity and quality of life. The utility of pulmonary rehabilitation prior to bronchoscopic lung volume reduction (BLVR) is unclear. Methods: We performed a post hoc analysis of the Valve for Emphysema Palliation Trial (VENT) trial, the first multicentre randomised trial comparing the safety and efficacy of BLVR. Patients completed a pulmonary rehabilitation programme prior to BLVR over 6-10 weeks and maintained by daily practice, consisting of endurance training, strength training and upper/lower limb exercise. Lung function and exercise parameters (6-min walk distance (6MWD)) were assessed before and after rehabilitation and we tried to identify predictors for pulmonary rehabilitation benefit. Results: Lung function and exercise capacity of 403 patients (mean±sd age 63.3±7.4 years, 37.5% female, mean±sd forced expiratory volume in 1 s 30.1±7.6 L) were analysed. Exercise capacity significantly improved from 331.6±98.8 m to 345.6±95.3 m (p<0.001) in 6-min walk testing (6MWT), with 40.3% showing clinically meaningful improvements. Patients also experienced less dyspnoea after 6MWT, while pulmonary function parameters did not change significantly overall. Patients with lower exercise capacity at screening (6MWD <250 m) benefited more from pulmonary rehabilitation. The indication and prerequisites for BLVR were still present in all patients after pulmonary rehabilitation. Conclusion: The national mandatory requirements for rehabilitation prior to BLVR, which apply to all COPD patients, should be reconsidered and specified for COPD patients who really benefit.

Cell-free DNA levels associate with COPD exacerbations and mortality.

THE QUESTION ADDRESSED BY THE STUDY: Good biological indicators capable of predicting chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) phenotypes and clinical trajectories are lacking. Because nuclear and mitochondrial genomes are damaged and released by cigarette smoke exposure, plasma cell-free mitochondrial and nuclear DNA (cf-mtDNA and cf-nDNA) levels could potentially integrate disease physiology and clinical phenotypes in COPD. This study aimed to determine whether plasma cf-mtDNA and cf-nDNA levels are associated with COPD disease severity, exacerbations, and mortality risk. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We quantified mtDNA and nDNA copy numbers in plasma from participants enrolled in the Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate Endpoints (ECLIPSE, n = 2,702) study and determined associations with relevant clinical parameters. RESULTS: Of the 2,128 participants with COPD, 65% were male and the median age was 64 (interquartile range, 59-69) years. During the baseline visit, cf-mtDNA levels positively correlated with future exacerbation rates in subjects with mild/moderate and severe disease (Global Initiative for Obstructive Lung Disease [GOLD] I/II and III, respectively) or with high eosinophil count (≥ 300). cf-nDNA positively associated with an increased mortality risk (hazard ratio, 1.33 [95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.74] per each natural log of cf-nDNA copy number). Additional analysis revealed that individuals with low cf-mtDNA and high cf-nDNA abundance further increased the mortality risk (hazard ratio, 1.62 [95% confidence interval, 1.16-2.25] per each natural log of cf-nDNA copy number). ANSWER TO THE QUESTION: Plasma cf-mtDNA and cf-nDNA, when integrated into quantitative clinical measurements, may aid in improving COPD severity and progression assessment.

Bronchial rheoplasty for chronic bronchitis: 2-year results from a US feasibility study with RheOx.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic bronchitis (CB), a phenotype of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) characterised by persistent cough and mucus hypersecretion, is associated with poor outcomes despite guideline-based treatment. Bronchial rheoplasty (BR) with the RheOx system delivers non-thermal pulsed electric fields to the lower airway epithelium and submucosa to reduce mucus producing cells. Early phase clinical trials including 1-year follow-up have demonstrated reduction in airway goblet cell hyperplasia and improvement in CB symptoms. METHODS: The current multicentre observational BR study enrolled 21 patients with CB at six centres in the USA, with bilateral treatment and 2-year follow-up. Entry criteria included elevated cough and sputum scores from COPD Assessment Test (CAT) and forced expiratory volume in one second<80% predicted. Safety was assessed by serious adverse event (SAE) incidence through 24 months. Clinical utility was evaluated using changes in the CAT, the St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) and by comparing exacerbation rates before and following intervention. RESULTS: No procedure-related or device-related SAEs occurred. Mean (SD) changes from baseline in CAT at 12 and 24 months were -9.0 (6.7) (p<0.0001) and -5.6 (7.1) (p<0.0047) and in SGRQ were -16.6 (13.2) (p<0.0001) and -11.8 (19.2) (p<0.0227), respectively. There was a 34% reduction in moderate and a 64% reduction in severe COPD exacerbation events compared with the year prior to treatment. CONCLUSIONS: This study extends the findings from previous feasibility studies, demonstrating that BR can be performed safely and may significantly improve symptoms and health-related quality of life for patients with CB through 24 months. TRAIL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03631472.

Researching COVID to enhance recovery (RECOVER) pregnancy study: Rationale, objectives and design.

IMPORTANCE: Pregnancy induces unique physiologic changes to the immune response and hormonal changes leading to plausible differences in the risk of developing post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 (PASC), or Long COVID. Exposure to SARS-CoV-2 during pregnancy may also have long-term ramifications for exposed offspring, and it is critical to evaluate the health outcomes of exposed children. The National Institutes of Health (NIH) Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery (RECOVER) Multi-site Observational Study of PASC aims to evaluate the long-term sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection in various populations. RECOVER-Pregnancy was designed specifically to address long-term outcomes in maternal-child dyads. METHODS: RECOVER-Pregnancy cohort is a combined prospective and retrospective cohort that proposes to enroll 2,300 individuals with a pregnancy during the COVID-19 pandemic and their offspring exposed and unexposed in utero, including single and multiple gestations. Enrollment will occur both in person at 27 sites through the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institutes of Health Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network and remotely through national recruitment by the study team at the University of California San Francisco (UCSF). Adults with and without SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy are eligible for enrollment in the pregnancy cohort and will follow the protocol for RECOVER-Adult including validated screening tools, laboratory analyses and symptom questionnaires followed by more in-depth phenotyping of PASC on a subset of the overall cohort. Offspring exposed and unexposed in utero to SARS-CoV-2 maternal infection will undergo screening tests for neurodevelopment and other health outcomes at 12, 18, 24, 36 and 48 months of age. Blood specimens will be collected at 24 months of age for SARS-CoV-2 antibody testing, storage and anticipated later analyses proposed by RECOVER and other investigators. DISCUSSION: RECOVER-Pregnancy will address whether having SARS-CoV-2 during pregnancy modifies the risk factors, prevalence, and phenotype of PASC. The pregnancy cohort will also establish whether there are increased risks of adverse long-term outcomes among children exposed in utero. CLINICAL TRIALS.GOV IDENTIFIER: Clinical Trial Registration: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT05172011.

Returning incidentally discovered Hepatitis C RNA-seq results to COPDGene study participants.

The consequences of returning infectious pathogen test results identified incidentally in research studies have not been well-studied. Concerns include identification of an important health issue for individuals, accuracy of research test results, public health impact, potential emotional distress for participants, and need for IRB permissions. Blood RNA-sequencing analysis for non-human RNA in 3984 participants from the COPDGene study identified 228 participants with evidence suggestive for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. We hypothesized that incidentally discovered HCV results could be effectively returned to COPDGene participants with attention to the identified concerns. In conjunction with a COPDGene Participant Advisory Panel, we developed and obtained IRB approval for a process of returning HCV research results and an HCV Follow-Up Study questionnaire to capture information about previous HCV diagnosis and treatment information and participant reactions to return of HCV results. During phone calls following the initial HCV notification letter, 84 of 124 participants who could be contacted (67.7%) volunteered that they had been previously diagnosed with HCV infection. Thirty-one of these 124 COPDGene participants were enrolled in the HCV Follow-Up Study. Five of the 31 HCV Follow-Up Study participants did not report a previous diagnosis of HCV. For four of these participants, subsequent clinical HCV testing confirmed HCV infection. Thus, 30/31 Follow-Up Study participants had confirmed HCV diagnoses, supporting the accuracy of the HCV research test results. However, the limited number of participants in the Follow-Up Study precludes an accurate assessment of the false-positive and false-negative rates of the research RNA sequencing evidence for HCV. Most HCV Follow-Up Study participants (29/31) were supportive of returning HCV research results, and most participants found the process for returning HCV results to be informative and not upsetting. Newly diagnosed participants were more likely to be pleased to learn about a potentially curable infection (p = 0.027) and showed a trend toward being more frightened by the potential health risks of HCV (p = 0.11). We conclude that HCV results identified incidentally during transcriptomic research studies can be successfully returned to research study participants with a carefully designed process.

Incident low muscle mass is associated with greater lung disease and lower circulating leptin in a tobacco-exposed longitudinal cohort.

BACKGROUND: Muscle loss is prevalent in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Prior studies evaluating musculoskeletal dysfunction in COPD have focused on individuals with baseline low muscle mass. Currently, there is limited data evaluating clinical characteristics and outcomes associated with progression to incident low muscle mass in a tobacco-exposed cohort of individuals with baseline normal muscle mass. METHODS: We evaluated 246 participants from a single-center longitudinal tobacco-exposed cohort with serial spirometry, thoracic imaging, dual energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) measurements, walk testing, and plasma adipokine measurements. DXA-derived fat free mass index (FFMI) and appendicular skeletal mass index (ASMI) were used as surrogates for muscle mass. Participants with incident low muscle mass (LM) at follow-up were characterized by FFMI < 18.4 kg/m2 in males and < 15.4 kg/m2 in females and/or ASMI < 7.25 kg/m2 in males and < 5.67 kg/m2 in females. RESULTS: Twenty-five (10%) participants progressed to incident low muscle mass at follow-up. At baseline, the LM subgroup had greater active smoking prevalence (60% v. 38%, p = 0.04), lower FFMI (17.8 ± 1.7 kg/m2 v. 19.7 ± 2.9 kg/m2, p = 0.002), lower ASMI (7.3 ± 0.9 kg/m2 v. 8.2 ± 1.2 kg/m2, p = 0.0003), and lower plasma leptin (14.9 ± 10.1 ng/mL v. 24.0 ± 20.9 ng/mL, p = 0.04). At follow-up, the LM subgroup had higher COPD prevalence (68% v. 43%, p = 0.02), lower FEV1/FVC (0.63 ± 0.12 v. 0.69 ± 0.12, p = 0.02), lower %DLco (66.5 ± 15.9% v. 73.9 ± 16.8%, p = 0.03), and higher annual rate of FFMI decline (-0.17 kg/m2/year v. -0.04 kg/m2/year, p = 0.006). There were no differences in age, gender distribution, pack years smoking history, or walk distance. CONCLUSIONS: We identified a subgroup of tobacco-exposed individuals with normal baseline muscle mass who progressed to incident DXA-derived low muscle mass. This subgroup demonstrated synchronous lung disease and persistently low circulating leptin levels. Our study suggests the importance of assessing for muscle loss in conjunction with lung function decline when evaluating individuals with tobacco exposure.

Lifestyle Intervention and Excess Weight in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD): INSIGHT COPD Randomized Clinical Trial.

Rationale: Being overweight or obese is common among patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), but whether interventions targeted at weight loss improve functional impairments is unknown. Objectives: INSIGHT (Intervention Study in Overweight Patients with COPD) tested whether a pragmatic low-intensity lifestyle intervention would lead to better physical functional status among overweight or obese participants with COPD. Methods: The trial was a 12-month, multicenter, patient-level pragmatic clinical trial. Participants were recruited from April 2017 to August 2019 from 38 sites across the United States and randomized to receive usual care or usual care plus lifestyle intervention. The intervention was a self-directed video program delivering the Diabetes Prevention Program's Group Lifestyle Balance curriculum. Results: The primary outcome was 6-minute-walk test distance at 12 months. Priority secondary outcomes were postwalk modified Borg dyspnea at 12 months and weight at 12 months. Participants (N = 684; mean age, 67.0 ± 8.0 yr [standard deviation]; 41.2% female) on average were obese (body mass index, 33.0 ± 4.6 kg/m2) with moderate COPD (forced expiratory volume in 1 second % predicted, 58.1 ± 15.7%). At 12 months, participants randomized to the intervention arm walked farther (adjusted difference, 42.3 ft [95% confidence interval (CI), 7.9-76.7 ft]; P = 0.02), had less dyspnea at the end of the 6-minute-walk test (adjusted difference, -0.36 [95% CI, -0.63 to -0.09]; P = 0.008), and had greater weight loss (adjusted difference, -1.34 kg [95% CI, -2.33 to -0.34 kg]; P = 0.008) than control participants. The intervention did not improve the odds of achieving clinically meaningful thresholds of walk distance (98.4 ft) or dyspnea (1 unit) but did achieve meaningful thresholds of weight loss (3% and 5%). Conclusions: Among participants with COPD who were overweight or obese, a self-guided low-intensity video-based lifestyle intervention led to modest weight loss but did not lead to clinically important improvements in physical functional status and dyspnea. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02634268).

Deep Learning Integration of Chest Computed Tomography Imaging and Gene Expression Identifies Novel Aspects of COPD.

Rationale: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is characterized by pathologic changes in the airways, lung parenchyma, and persistent inflammation, but the links between lung structural changes and blood transcriptome patterns have not been fully described. Objections: The objective of this study was to identify novel relationships between lung structural changes measured by chest computed tomography (CT) and blood transcriptome patterns measured by blood RNA sequencing (RNA-seq). Methods: CT scan images and blood RNA-seq gene expression from 1223 participants in the COPD Genetic Epidemiology (COPDGene®) study were jointly analyzed using deep learning to identify shared aspects of inflammation and lung structural changes that we labeled image-expression axes (IEAs). We related IEAs to COPD-related measurements and prospective health outcomes through regression and Cox proportional hazards models and tested them for biological pathway enrichment. Results: We identified 2 distinct IEAs: IEAemph which captures an emphysema-predominant process with a strong positive correlation to CT emphysema and a negative correlation to forced expiratory volume in 1 second and body mass index (BMI); and IEAairway which captures an airway-predominant process with a positive correlation to BMI and airway wall thickness and a negative correlation to emphysema. Pathway enrichment analysis identified 29 and 13 pathways significantly associated with IEAemph and IEAairway, respectively (adjusted p<0.001). Conclusions: Integration of CT scans and blood RNA-seq data identified 2 IEAs that capture distinct inflammatory processes associated with emphysema and airway-predominant COPD.

FEV1/FVC Severity Stages for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Rationale: The diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is based on a low FEV1/FVC ratio, but the severity of COPD is classified using FEV1% predicted (ppFEV1). Objectives: To test a new severity classification scheme for COPD using FEV1/FVC ratio, a more robust measure of airflow obstruction than ppFEV1. Methods: In COPDGene (Genetic Epidemiology of COPD) (N = 10,132), the severity of airflow obstruction was categorized by Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) stages 1-4 (ppFEV1 of ⩾80%, ⩾50-80%, ⩾30-50%, and <30%). A new severity classification (STaging of Airflow obstruction by Ratio; STAR) was tested in COPDGene-FEV1/FVC ⩾0.60 to <0.70, ⩾0.50 to <0.60, ⩾0.40 to <0.50, and <0.40, respectively, for stages 1-4-and applied to the combined Pittsburgh SCCOR and Emphysema COPD Research Registry for replication (N = 2,017). Measurements and Main Results: The agreements (weighted Bangdiwala B values) between GOLD and the new FEV1/FVC ratio severity stages were 0.89 in COPDGene and 0.88 in the Pittsburgh cohort. In COPDGene and the Pittsburgh cohort, compared with GOLD staging, STAR provided significant discrimination between the absence of airflow obstruction and stage 1 for all-cause mortality, respiratory quality of life, dyspnea, airway wall thickness, exacerbations, and lung function decline. No major differences were noted for emphysema, small airway disease, and 6-minute-walk distance. The STAR classification system identified a greater number of adults with stage 3/4 disease who would be eligible for lung transplantation and lung volume reduction procedure evaluations. Conclusions: The new STAR severity classification scheme provides discrimination for mortality that is similar to the GOLD classification but with a more uniform gradation of disease severity. STAR differentiates patients' symptoms, disease burden, and prognosis better than the existing scheme based on ppFEV1, and is less sensitive to race/ethnicity and other demographic characteristics.

Researching COVID to enhance recovery (RECOVER) pregnancy study: Rationale, objectives and design.

Importance: Pregnancy induces unique physiologic changes to the immune response and hormonal changes leading to plausible differences in the risk of developing post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 (PASC), or Long COVID. Exposure to SARS-CoV-2 during pregnancy may also have long-term ramifications for exposed offspring, and it is critical to evaluate the health outcomes of exposed children. The National Institutes of Health (NIH) Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery (RECOVER) Multi-site Observational Study of PASC aims to evaluate the long-term sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection in various populations. RECOVER- Pregnancy was designed specifically to address long-term outcomes in maternal-child dyads. Methods: RECOVER-Pregnancy cohort is a combined prospective and retrospective cohort that proposes to enroll 2,300 individuals with a pregnancy during the COVID-19 pandemic and their offspring exposed and unexposed in utero, including single and multiple gestations. Enrollment will occur both in person at 27 sites through the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institutes of Health Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network and remotely through national recruitment by the study team at the University of California San Francisco (UCSF). Adults with and without SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy are eligible for enrollment in the pregnancy cohort and will follow the protocol for RECOVER-Adult including validated screening tools, laboratory analyses and symptom questionnaires followed by more in-depth phenotyping of PASC on a subset of the overall cohort. Offspring exposed and unexposed in utero to SARS-CoV-2 maternal infection will undergo screening tests for neurodevelopment and other health outcomes at 12, 18, 24, 36 and 48 months of age. Blood specimens will be collected at 24 months of age for SARS-CoV-2 antibody testing, storage and anticipated later analyses proposed by RECOVER and other investigators. Discussion: RECOVER-Pregnancy will address whether having SARS-CoV-2 during pregnancy modifies the risk factors, prevalence, and phenotype of PASC. The pregnancy cohort will also establish whether there are increased risks of adverse long-term outcomes among children exposed in utero. Registration: NCT05172024.

Clinically stable covid-19 patients presenting to acute unscheduled episodic care venues have increased risk of hospitalization: secondary analysis of a randomized control trial.

BACKGROUND: Assessment for risks associated with acute stable COVID-19 is important to optimize clinical trial enrollment and target patients for scarce therapeutics. To assess whether healthcare system engagement location is an independent predictor of outcomes we performed a secondary analysis of the ACTIV-4B Outpatient Thrombosis Prevention trial. METHODS: A secondary analysis of the ACTIV-4B trial that was conducted at 52 US sites between September 2020 and August 2021. Participants were enrolled through acute unscheduled episodic care (AUEC) enrollment location (emergency department, or urgent care clinic visit) compared to minimal contact (MC) enrollment (electronic contact from test center lists of positive patients).We report the primary composite outcome of cardiopulmonary hospitalizations, symptomatic venous thromboembolism, myocardial infarction, stroke, transient ischemic attack, systemic arterial thromboembolism, or death among stable outpatients stratified by enrollment setting, AUEC versus MC. A propensity score for AUEC enrollment was created, and Cox proportional hazards regression with inverse probability weighting (IPW) was used to compare the primary outcome by enrollment location. RESULTS: Among the 657 ACTIV-4B patients randomized, 533 (81.1%) with known enrollment setting data were included in this analysis, 227 from AUEC settings and 306 from MC settings. In a multivariate logistic regression model, time from COVID test, age, Black race, Hispanic ethnicity, and body mass index were associated with AUEC enrollment. Irrespective of trial treatment allocation, patients enrolled at an AUEC setting were 10-times more likely to suffer from the adjudicated primary outcome, 7.9% vs. 0.7%; p < 0.001, compared with patients enrolled at a MC setting. Upon Cox regression analysis adjustment patients enrolled at an AUEC setting remained at significant risk of the primary composite outcome, HR 3.40 (95% CI 1.46, 7.94). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with clinically stable COVID-19 presenting to an AUEC enrollment setting represent a population at increased risk of arterial and venous thrombosis complications, hospitalization for cardiopulmonary events, or death, when adjusted for other risk factors, compared with patients enrolled at a MC setting. Future outpatient therapeutic trials and clinical therapeutic delivery programs of clinically stable COVID-19 patients may focus on inclusion of higher-risk patient populations from AUEC engagement locations. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04498273.

A Model to Predict Residual Volume from Forced Spirometry Measurements in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Background: Lung hyperinflation with elevated residual volume (RV) is associated with poor prognosis in adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and is a critical criterion for lung volume reduction selection. Here, we proposed that patterns within spirometric measures could represent the degree of hyperinflation. Methods: Fractional polynomial multivariate regression was used to develop a prediction model based on age, biological sex, forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1), and forced vital capacity (FVC) to estimate plethysmography measured RV in patients in the Pittsburgh Specialized Center for Clinically Oriented Research (SCCOR) cohort (n=450). Receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (ROC-AUC) and optimal cut-points from the model were identified. The model was validated in a separate cohort (n=793). Results: The best fit model: RV %est=[FVC %predicted] x 3.46-[FEV1/FVC] x 179.80- [FVC % (sqrt)] x 79.53-[age] x 0.98- [sex] x 10.88 + 737.06, where [sex], m=1. R2 of observed versus %predicted RV was 0.71. The optimal cut-point to predict an RV % >175% was 161. At this cut-point, ROC-AUC was 0.95, with a sensitivity 0.95, specificity 0.86, positive predictive value (PPV) of 97%, negative predictive value (NPV) of 76%, positive likelihood ratio (LR) of 6.6, and negative LR of 0.06. In a validation cohort of COPD patients (n=793), the model performed similarly, with a sensitivity of 0.82, specificity of 0.83, PPV of 85%, NPV of 79%, positive LR of 4.7, and negative LR of 0.21. Conclusion: In patients with COPD, a model using only spirometry, age, and biological sex can estimate elevated RV. This tool could facilitate the identification of candidates for lung volume reduction procedures and can be integrated into existing epidemiologic databases to investigate the clinical impact of hyperinflation.

CT pectoralis muscle area is associated with DXA lean mass and correlates with emphysema progression in a tobacco-exposed cohort.

INTRODUCTION: Muscle loss is an important extrapulmonary manifestation of COPD. Dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) is the method of choice for body composition measurement but is not widely used for muscle mass evaluation. The pectoralis muscle area (PMA) is quantifiable by CT and predicts cross-sectional COPD-related morbidity. There are no studies that compare PMA with DXA measures or that evaluate longitudinal relationships between PMA and lung disease progression. METHODS: Participants from our longitudinal tobacco-exposed cohort had baseline and 6-year chest CT (n=259) and DXA (n=164) data. Emphysema was quantified by CT density histogram parenchymal scoring using the 15th percentile technique. Fat-free mass index (FFMI) and appendicular skeletal mass index (ASMI) were calculated from DXA measurements. Linear regression model relationships were reported using standardised coefficient (ß) with 95% CI. RESULTS: PMA was more strongly associated with DXA measures than with body mass index (BMI) in both cross-sectional (FFMI: ß=0.76 (95% CI 0.65 to 0.86), p<0.001; ASMI: ß=0.76 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.86), p<0.001; BMI: ß=0.36 (95% CI 0.25 to 0.47), p<0.001) and longitudinal (ΔFFMI: ß=0.43 (95% CI 0.28 to 0.57), p<0.001; ΔASMI: ß=0.42 (95% CI 0.27 to 0.57), p<0.001; ΔBMI: ß=0.34 (95% CI 0.22 to 0.46), p<0.001) models. Six-year change in PMA was associated with 6-year change in emphysema (ß=0.39 (95% CI 0.23 to 0.56), p<0.001) but not with 6-year change in airflow obstruction. CONCLUSIONS: PMA is an accessible measure of muscle mass and may serve as a useful clinical surrogate for assessing skeletal muscle loss in smokers. Decreased PMA correlated with emphysema progression but not lung function decline, suggesting a difference in the pathophysiology driving emphysema, airflow obstruction and comorbidity risk.

Bronchodilators in Tobacco-Exposed Persons with Symptoms and Preserved Lung Function.

BACKGROUND: Many persons with a history of smoking tobacco have clinically significant respiratory symptoms despite an absence of airflow obstruction as assessed by spirometry. They are often treated with medications for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), but supporting evidence for this treatment is lacking. METHODS: We randomly assigned persons who had a tobacco-smoking history of at least 10 pack-years, respiratory symptoms as defined by a COPD Assessment Test score of at least 10 (scores range from 0 to 40, with higher scores indicating worse symptoms), and preserved lung function on spirometry (ratio of forced expiratory volume in 1 second [FEV1] to forced vital capacity [FVC] ≥0.70 and FVC ≥70% of the predicted value after bronchodilator use) to receive either indacaterol (27.5 µg) plus glycopyrrolate (15.6 µg) or placebo twice daily for 12 weeks. The primary outcome was at least a 4-point decrease (i.e., improvement) in the St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) score (scores range from 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating worse health status) after 12 weeks without treatment failure (defined as an increase in lower respiratory symptoms treated with a long-acting inhaled bronchodilator, glucocorticoid, or antibiotic agent). RESULTS: A total of 535 participants underwent randomization. In the modified intention-to-treat population (471 participants), 128 of 227 participants (56.4%) in the treatment group and 144 of 244 (59.0%) in the placebo group had at least a 4-point decrease in the SGRQ score (difference, -2.6 percentage points; 95% confidence interval [CI], -11.6 to 6.3; adjusted odds ratio, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.60 to 1.37; P = 0.65). The mean change in the percent of predicted FEV1 was 2.48 percentage points (95% CI, 1.49 to 3.47) in the treatment group and -0.09 percentage points (95% CI, -1.06 to 0.89) in the placebo group, and the mean change in the inspiratory capacity was 0.12 liters (95% CI, 0.07 to 0.18) in the treatment group and 0.02 liters (95% CI, -0.03 to 0.08) in the placebo group. Four serious adverse events occurred in the treatment group, and 11 occurred in the placebo group; none were deemed potentially related to the treatment or placebo. CONCLUSIONS: Inhaled dual bronchodilator therapy did not decrease respiratory symptoms in symptomatic, tobacco-exposed persons with preserved lung function as assessed by spirometry. (Funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute and others; RETHINC ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02867761.).

Circulating 1,3-Beta-D-Glucan is Associated with Lung Function, Respiratory Symptoms, and Mediators of Matrix Degradation in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Introduction: Factors beyond cigarette smoke likely contribute to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) pathogenesis. Prior studies demonstrate fungal colonization of the respiratory tract and increased epithelial barrier permeability in COPD. We sought to determine whether 1,3-beta-d-glucan (BDG), a polysaccharide component of the fungal cell wall, is detectable in the plasma of individuals with COPD and associates with clinical outcomes and matrix degradation proteins. Methods: BDG was measured in the plasma of current and former smokers with COPD. High BDG was defined as a value greater than the 95th percentile of BDG in smokers without airflow obstruction. Pulmonary function, emphysema, and symptoms were compared between COPD participants with high versus low BDG. The relationship between plasma BDG, matrix metalloproteinases (MMP) 1, 7, and 9, and tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinases (TIMP) 1, 2, and 4 was assessed adjusting for age, sex, and smoking status. Results: COPD participants with high BDG plasma levels (19.8%) had lower forced expiratory volume in 1 second to forced vital capacity ratios (median 31.9 versus 39.3, p=0.025), higher St George's Respiratory Questionnaire symptom scores (median 63.6 versus 57.4, p=0.016), and greater prevalence of sputum production (69.4% versus 52.0%) and exacerbations (69.4% versus 48%) compared to COPD participants with low BDG. BDG levels directly correlated with MMP1 (r=0.27, p<0.001) and TIMP1 (r=0.16, p=0.022) in unadjusted and adjusted analyses. Conclusions: Elevated plasma BDG levels correlate with worse lung function, greater respiratory morbidity, and circulating markers of matrix degradation in COPD. These findings suggest that targeting dysbiosis or enhancing epithelial barrier integrity may have disease-modifying effects in COPD.

Bronchoscopic Lung Volume Reduction Coil Treatment for Severe Emphysema: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Individual Participant Data.

BACKGROUND: Lung volume reduction coil (LVR-coil) treatment provides a minimally invasive treatment option for severe emphysema patients which has been studied in multiple clinical trials. OBJECTIVES: The aim of the study was to assess the effect of LVR-coil treatment on pulmonary function, quality of life, and exercise capacity using individual participant data. METHOD: PubMed, Web of Science, and EMBASE were searched until May 17, 2021. Prospective single-arm and randomized controlled trials that evaluated the effect of LVR-coil treatment on forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1), residual volume (RV), St. George Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) total score, and/or 6-min walk distance (6MWD) and were registered in an official clinical trial database were eligible for inclusion. Individual patient data were requested, and a linear mixed effects model was used to calculate overall treatment effects. RESULTS: Eight trials were included in the final analysis, representing 680 individual patients. LVR-coil treatment resulted in a significant improvement in FEV1 at 3- (0.09 L [95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.06-0.12]) and 6-month follow-up (0.07 L [95% CI: 0.03-0.10]), a significant reduction in RV at 3- (-0.45L [95% CI: -0.62 to -0.28]), 6- (-0.33L [95% CI: -0.52 to -0.14]), and 12-month follow-up (-0.36L [95% CI: -0.64 to -0.08]), a significant reduction in SGRQ total score at 3- (-12.3 points [95% CI: -15.8 to -8.8]), 6- (-10.1 points [95% CI: -12.8 to -7.3]), and 12-month follow-up (-9.8 points [95% CI: -15.0 to -4.7]) and a significant increase in 6MWD at 3-month follow-up (38 m [95% CI: 18-58]). CONCLUSIONS: LVR-coil treatment in emphysema patients results in sustained improvements in pulmonary function and quality of life and shorter lived improvements in exercise capacity. Since the owner of this LVR-coil has decided to stop the production and newer generations LVR-coils are currently being developed, these results can act as a reference for future studies and clinical guidance.